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Bitcoin Dejavu: Massive Bull Run Ahead If BTC Price Repeats 2015 Pattern

24 Nov, 20223 min readBitcoin
Bitcoin Dejavu: Massive Bull Run Ahead If BTC Price Repeats 2015 Pattern

The collapse of the FTX exchange spread like a contagion over the whole cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin and other altcoins experiencing sharp corrections over the past few weeks. Bitcoin is currently trading close to the $16,530 mark and is down by more than one percent.

According to an analysis by crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade, Bitcoin is currently following a similar chart pattern as it did in 2015. The pattern indicates that a “massive bull run” might be in store for the king cryptocurrency.

#Bitcoin is currently at the same situation as 2015 bottom.1. Inverted and Logarithmic MACD moves above zero line.2. $BTC falls onto the support zone, which created by upper wick of monthly candle in previous cycle top.Massive BULL RUN follows. — Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) November 23, 2022

Do historical Data have the Opposite Story?

In the opinion of another cryptocurrency researcher, Moustache, Bitcoin might not see a bull run in the future. It is supported by historical research that looks even further back in time and keeps track of the RHODL [realized value HODL waves] ratio.

Every time in #Bitcoins history, when the RHODL ratio left the green zone, the bullmarket started and the bottom was in.RR has left the green zone again, but $BTC is making new lows. Manipulation? I think, once the final bottom is reached, $BTC and crypto will rise heavily. — 𝕄𝕠𝕦𝕤𝕥𝕒𝕔ⓗ𝕖 (@el_crypto_prof) November 23, 2022

On-chain Data Shows a Ray of Hope

According to data from Glassnode, the number of addresses on the Bitcoin network with non-zero balances has significantly increased. Mid-October saw the start of growth, which then took off as November got underway. As shown in the graph below, this growth was followed by a similarly rapid rise in the number of addresses with non-zero balances.

On-chain data also reveals that most non-zero addresses were created within the last month. A higher number of transactions results from an increase in the number of new addresses and the number of transactions logged on the network has significantly increased over the past month.


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