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Bitcoin [BTC]: Heavy coin inflow into exchanges suggests rally in sell pressure

17 Sep, 20222 min readBitcoin
Bitcoin [BTC]: Heavy coin inflow into exchanges suggests rally in sell pressure

The much-anticipated Merge that proved to be beneficial for most, didn’t do anything for Bitcoin [BTC]. Some Ethereum [ETH]-linked assets posted double-digit gains, and BTC paid no heed. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the price per BTC stood at $19,907, with a 0.8% decline in the last 24 hours.

Having declined by 16% in the last month, key on-chain metrics showed that the bears are still in control of the market. Additionally, there seems to be no rally in sight for the king coin in the coming weeks.

What key metrics?

According to new data from Santiment, BTC witnessed a rally in its exchange inflow since the beginning of the month. Between 7 September and 14 September, 1.69 million BTC worth $33.5 billion was sent to exchanges. According to Santiment, this was the highest BTC volume moved since October 2021.

A spike in this metric is usually indicative of a rally in sell pressure for a crypto asset. With more BTC moved into exchanges, further price downside could be expected.

Furthermore, CryptoQuant reported that following the United States Consumer Price Index reading on 13 September there was a sudden surge in BTC exchange inflows. This led to a 10% decline in the price of the leading coin, a few hours after the reading.

According to the report,

“majority of the bitcoin movements were from the spot exchange (Coinbase) to the derivative one (Huobi), and predominantly a 3-6-month-old whale address.”

Further, data from IntoTheBlock showed a significant drop in BTC Large Holder Netflow in the last month. According to IntoTheBlock Resources, large holders of a crypto asset hold more than 1% of the asset’s total circulating supply.

When the large holder netflow sees a spike, it means that this category of holders is accumulating. A drop signifies a decline in the holdings of large holders. Last month, the large holder netflow for BTC declined by 100%.

Furthermore, in the last 90 days, the same extent of decline has been logged. With a rally in large holder netflow usually a precursor to the spike in the price of an asset, a continued decline in BTC’s large holder netflow might occasion a further drop in its price.

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